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Early ultrasounds can be very accurate, much more so than using lmp. Charting is pretty accurate as well.
Based off my lmp I would have had an edd of 4/1 but I was charting and knew my ovulation was later. Us confirmed this and my edd was pushed a week later. Ds still was almost 2 weeks overdue. Had we used my lmp I would have been pushed to induce at over 42 weeks when in fact it would have only been 41 weeks.