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Is it possible to ovulate without getting a temp rise? My body has been really out of wack the last two cycles.
This cycle I 'though' I ovulated on day 14 or 15, as I was getting really bad cramps and 'blobs' of sticky/stretchy CM, however by day 16 it had gone back to 'creamy' with wet sensations, so I didn't think I had ovulated. However 11 days later, and AF has shown up full force.
My temps are all over the place, one day really high, then the next really low.
This is the same thing that happened last cycle - I 'though' I'd ovulated on a particular day due to stretchy CM and cramps, but continued getting 'creamy' CM and wet sensations, but again AF shows up exactly 11 days later...
But to answer your question, it's very unlikely to ovulate without a thermal shift. The fact that your mucus pattern does not confirm ovulation would also mean it was unlikely you ovulated. A dry up is one of the 3 conditions to confirm ovulation with CM, so no dry up and no temp shift means you have no confirmation of ovulation.
The bleeding does not trump the CM and temps because it's very possible to have bleeding at regular intervals, even without ovulation. I get it myself actually.