January 24th, 2011, 09:01 AM
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Platinum Supermommy
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Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Alberta, Canada
Posts: 10,160
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Progesterone begins to rise just before ovulation, so it's possible for the rise to begin before O. However, it's also possible for your temps to take a few days to "react" to the increased progesterone after ovulation. So the temperature pattern does not tell us the exact day of ovulation, there's a margin of error of a few days. It gives narrow estimate, but still just an estimate.
Also, individual temps can be affected by MANY outside factors (extra blankets, alcohol, slight illness, mouth breathing, varied waking times, etc.) So don't read too much into any one rise or one dip. It's the overall pattern that matters.
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